In terms of Dolezel, I really had no idea about this one. It's still rather new news to me. Nowhere that I've seen even lists Dolezel on the injury list. My guess says he perhaps jammed a finger on his throwing hand if you thought he had that many problems. I know that Vegas didn't look too sharp offensively all game, and perhaps this has been a problem, but in terms of a specific injury... none that I can see. Personally, this game just has a real ominous feeling about it. I've already played the Kitties and gotten burned once this year... And though I think this is there game, there's a bit of a feeling surrounding this that maybe suggests shift of power in the AFL. If Dolezel can throw, Vegas is gonna put up a fight in SJ.
--AFLGuru
--AFLGuru
Dolezel didn't hurt his finger - he injured his ribs late in the last game. He's expected to play though (he is "probable" with contused ribs).
I agree that Las Vegas wasn't too sharp. LA played a much better game than the score indicated. The real question though, is which sabercats will show up? Tampa Bay blowing them out in one game isn't a big deal - when you get down a few scores, you have to take chances, and TB's defense is good at exploiting that. LV's defense is very average, and I'd be surprised if it can be nearly as effective as TB in slowing Grieb.
I agree that Las Vegas wasn't too sharp. LA played a much better game than the score indicated. The real question though, is which sabercats will show up? Tampa Bay blowing them out in one game isn't a big deal - when you get down a few scores, you have to take chances, and TB's defense is good at exploiting that. LV's defense is very average, and I'd be surprised if it can be nearly as effective as TB in slowing Grieb.
Watched the LV/LA game and thanks to Guru and others cashed the under. Announcers stated that Dolezol had a finger problem and ribs after being sandwiched by 2 LA defenders...his next series was bad but played well after that...they even said his finger was purple.
Guru...on another site it was stated that Phil opened at -9- and is presently -2. Also NY opened +1 and is presently -5. I think they were referring to Pinny opening lines Tues...thought the books were getting a better feel for the AFL. Is this something that happens in early weeks of AFL..bad opening lines
Pam
arty:
Guru...on another site it was stated that Phil opened at -9- and is presently -2. Also NY opened +1 and is presently -5. I think they were referring to Pinny opening lines Tues...thought the books were getting a better feel for the AFL. Is this something that happens in early weeks of AFL..bad opening lines
Pam
arty:Briefly, Pam--
Vegas' lines are going to be a bit skewed at the start of the year, as they are hoping to find lines that accommondate an equal amount of wagering on each side. Ultimately, they're not going to find that number in 90% of games as an opening line, particularly in the AFL, where so few people actually bet, that the slightest of bets can move a line by as much as a point right away. That being said, nearly whatever I take is going to be adjusted within an hour or two of when I post it because I have so many views and follows. Same goes with any other poster on say, covers.com or one of the other sites, mostly because so few people actually are willing to post their Arena League picks for all to see.
My perfect answer to this is the Shredrick Bonner injury. The Bonner report was out for 2 and a half hours before Pinnacle caught on and closed it. Browns Fan reported it on therx and it closed. My gut feeling kinda says we might have bought a few more hours if it were never posted. If Tom Brady stubs his toe walking down the stairs in his hotel in Jacksonville, believe me, the line will be closed IMMEDIATELY for the game. We DO have a significant advantage in this sport, as the books don't care enough (and don't set limits high enough) to really cause them to lose too much money. Yes, they very well could take a big hit this weekend if Chicago wins outright, the over/under gets over 112, and New York wins by a couple touchdowns... But they'll take the chance that all of that DOESN'T happen, knowing that if I go a listed 1-2, that no one else following therx can do any better than that and they'll clean up. Just some food for thought...
GuruChick is coming into town within a couple hours, so this may be my last post for awhile... I'll keep the game updated tonight though. Watch for 2nd half wagering chances on my thread.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Vegas' lines are going to be a bit skewed at the start of the year, as they are hoping to find lines that accommondate an equal amount of wagering on each side. Ultimately, they're not going to find that number in 90% of games as an opening line, particularly in the AFL, where so few people actually bet, that the slightest of bets can move a line by as much as a point right away. That being said, nearly whatever I take is going to be adjusted within an hour or two of when I post it because I have so many views and follows. Same goes with any other poster on say, covers.com or one of the other sites, mostly because so few people actually are willing to post their Arena League picks for all to see.
My perfect answer to this is the Shredrick Bonner injury. The Bonner report was out for 2 and a half hours before Pinnacle caught on and closed it. Browns Fan reported it on therx and it closed. My gut feeling kinda says we might have bought a few more hours if it were never posted. If Tom Brady stubs his toe walking down the stairs in his hotel in Jacksonville, believe me, the line will be closed IMMEDIATELY for the game. We DO have a significant advantage in this sport, as the books don't care enough (and don't set limits high enough) to really cause them to lose too much money. Yes, they very well could take a big hit this weekend if Chicago wins outright, the over/under gets over 112, and New York wins by a couple touchdowns... But they'll take the chance that all of that DOESN'T happen, knowing that if I go a listed 1-2, that no one else following therx can do any better than that and they'll clean up. Just some food for thought...
GuruChick is coming into town within a couple hours, so this may be my last post for awhile... I'll keep the game updated tonight though. Watch for 2nd half wagering chances on my thread.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Dolezel Does Have Broken Finger and Is On IR
As I mentioned on 2/3, it is verified that Dolezel broke his finger in the opener and it got worse during the SJ game.
"Dolezel was placed on IR with a broken middle finger on his throwing hand. He must sit out at least the next two games, and coach Ron James said Dolezel might miss as much as a month. Backup Rod Robinson will start. 2004: Robinson became a valuable backup quarterback for the Gladiators in 2004 and received the team's Coaches' Award. On the season, he played in seven games and completed seven of 10 passes for 88 yards with one touchdown. He also rushed the ball 11 times for 37 yards and one touchdown. 2003:Played his first season in af2 with the Memphis Xplorers. He completed 217-of-369 passes for 2,739 yards and 53 touchdowns. Linemen Rick Cunningham (st-strained lower legs) and Steve Konopka (st vet-strained groin) also were placed on IR. The Gladiators activated lineman Karl Bates (sprained right ankle) and promoted lineman William Mayes from the practice squad."
As I mentioned on 2/3, it is verified that Dolezel broke his finger in the opener and it got worse during the SJ game.
"Dolezel was placed on IR with a broken middle finger on his throwing hand. He must sit out at least the next two games, and coach Ron James said Dolezel might miss as much as a month. Backup Rod Robinson will start. 2004: Robinson became a valuable backup quarterback for the Gladiators in 2004 and received the team's Coaches' Award. On the season, he played in seven games and completed seven of 10 passes for 88 yards with one touchdown. He also rushed the ball 11 times for 37 yards and one touchdown. 2003:Played his first season in af2 with the Memphis Xplorers. He completed 217-of-369 passes for 2,739 yards and 53 touchdowns. Linemen Rick Cunningham (st-strained lower legs) and Steve Konopka (st vet-strained groin) also were placed on IR. The Gladiators activated lineman Karl Bates (sprained right ankle) and promoted lineman William Mayes from the practice squad."
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